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32. TRENDS IN LIFE EXPECTANCY INDICATOR

TABLE 1 – INDICATOR DESCRIPTION

Information component Pg 3 Health Inequalities: changes over time – Trend 1 Chart Life Expectancy at birth
Subject category / domain(s) Health Inequalities: changes over time
Indicator name (* Indicator title in health profile) Trend in Life Expectancy at Birth
PHO with lead responsibility LHO
Date of PHO dataset creation Jan 2006
Indicator definition Life expectancy at birth, years, all ages, 1995 – 1997 to 2003-05, males and females
Geography England, GOR, Local Authority: Counties, County Districts, Metropolitan County Districts, Unitary Authorities, London Boroughs. Boundaries as at April 2006.
Timeliness ONS produced data are updated annually in the Autumn of the following year
Rationale:What this indicator purports to measure Life expectancy at birth is a summary measure of the all cause mortality rates in an area in a given period. It is the average number of years a new-born baby would survive, were he or she to experience the particular area’s age-specific mortality rates for that time period throughout his or her life.
Rationale:Public Health Importance All cause mortality is a fundamental and probably the oldest measure of the health status of a population.  It represents the cumulative effect of the prevalence of risk factors, prevalence and severity of disease, and the effectiveness of interventions and treatment. Differences in levels of all-cause mortality reflect health inequalities between different population groups, e.g. between genders, social classes and ethnic groups. Life expectancy at birth is chosen as the preferred summary measure of all cause mortality as it quantifies the differences between areas in units (years of life) that are more readily understood and meaningful to the audience than those of other measures.
Rationale: Purpose behind the inclusion of the indicator To help reduce premature mortality and facilitate planning of health services at local level To help reduce health inequalities – between males and females, and between geographical areas
Rationale:Policy relevance There is a national health inequalities target for life expectancy which aims to increase average life expectancy at birth in England to 78.6 years for men and to 82.5 years for women, and to reduce health inequalities by 10% by 2010 as measured by life expectancy at birth (Department of Health PSA priority 1).Also life expectancy is an indicator in the following:Local basket of inequalities indicators – Indicator 13.12.Opportunity for all – Communities – Indicator 39.Quality of life indicators – Health and social well-being – Indicator 33
Interpretation: What a high / low level of indicator value means The higher the life expectancy, the longer the estimated life expectancy for males or females living in that area at that time. A downward sloping trend line indicates that life expectancy is worsening.An upward sloping trend line indicates that life expectancy is improving.If the trend line for the local authority is consistently above the trend line for England then life expectancy has been consistently higher than that for England for the stated period.If the trend line for the local authority is consistently below the trend line for England then life expectancy has been consistently lower than that for England for the stated period.If the gap between the local authority trend line and the England trend line is widening then inequality in life expectancy is worsening.If the gap between the local authority trend line and the England trend line is narrowing then inequality in life expectancy is improving.
Interpretation: Potential for error due to type of measurement method The figures reflect the contemporary mortality among those living in the area in each time period. They are not the number of years a baby born in the area in each time period could actually expect to live, both because the death rates of the area are likely to change in the future and because many of those born in the area will live elsewhere for at least some part of their lives.Life expectancy at birth is also not a guide to the remaining expectancy of life at any other given age. For example, if female life expectancy at birth was 80 years for a particular area, life expectancy of women aged exactly 75 years in that area would exceed 5 years. This reflects the fact that survival from a particular age depends only on the mortality rates beyond that age, whereas survival from birth is based on mortality rates for all ages
Interpretation: Potential for error due to bias and confounding Older people living in nursing homes tend to be in poorer health than those not living in nursing homes. As these homes are unevenly distributed across the country, a higher death rate – consequently lower life expectancy level – in one area could simply be the result of migration of frail older people moving into nursing homes in that area.

TABLE 2 – INDICATOR SPECIFICATION

Indicator definition: Variable Trend in Life expectancy at birth
Indicator definition: Statistic Number of years
Indicator definition: Gender Males and Females
Indicator definition: age group All ages
Indicator definition: period 1995 – 1997 to 2003-2005
Indicator definition: scale
Geography: geographies available for this indicator from other providers E&W, Eng, GOR, SHA, ONS Area, CTY, LA, PCO Available from ONS
Dimensions of inequality: subgroup analyses of this dataset available from other providers England & Wales, SHAAvailable from the Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data extraction: Source Social Class.Available from the Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data extraction: source URL Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data extraction: date www.statistics.gov.uk
Numerator: definition Dec 2005
Numerator: source Estimated number of years of male and female life expectancy at birth based on a three-year periods from 1995-1997 to  2003-2005.
Denominator: definition Office for National Statistics (ONS).
Denominator: source N/A
Data quality: Accuracy and completeness N/A

TABLE 3 – INDICATOR TECHNICAL METHODS

Numerator: extraction Extraction of completed indicator from ONS
Numerator: aggregation /allocation The figures are rolling three-year averages produced by aggregating deaths and population estimates for  1995 – 1997 to  2003 – 2005Deaths were assigned to local authority boundaries by ONS using the National Statistics Postcode Directory.
Numerator data caveats ONS calculate LE using deaths registered in the respective three year periods for the respective gender, all ages
Denominator data caveats ONS calculate LE using the mid-year population estimates for the respective years and gender, all ages.
Methods used to calculate indicator value The figures are rolling three-year averages produced by aggregating deaths and population estimates for 2003 – 2005.                                                                           Abridged life tables were constructed using standard methods. Separate tables were constructed for males and females. The tables were created using annual mid-year population estimates and deaths registered in each year. All figures presented here are for life expectancy at birth. The Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) compiles data on life expectancy, using data derived from Registrars General on population and deaths. Data are available in the form of life tables on both a period and a cohort basis. For a detailed description of the standard methods and notation associated with the calculation of life expectancy, see the GAD website:http://www.gad.gov.uk/Life_Tables/Interim_Life_Tables.htmFor Regions, County Districts, Metropolitan County Districts, Unitary Authorities and London Boroughs data are presented for 1995-97 to 2003 2005 and are produced by ONS. (http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_population/LE_E&W_2006.xls). Data for Counties submitted as part of the trend tables are calculated as weighted averages of the corresponding County Districts and were provided by the Neighbourhood Renewal Unit up until 2001-2003. Data for Counties submitted for 2002-2004 and 2003-2005 were calculated using the South East Public Health Observatory life expectancy calculator (http://www.sepho.org.uk/viewResource.aspx?id=8943). Therefore, data for counties are not directly comparable with other geographies as these were calculated using a slightly different methodology. Methodologies for counties 2002-2004, 2003-2005 and all data for other geographies were based on Chiang CL, The life table and its construction. From: Introduction to stochastic processes in Biostatistics. New York: John Wiley & Sons 1968, Chapter 9, 189-214.
Small Populations: How Isles of Scilly and City of London populations have been dealt with Two authorities, City of London and Isles of Scilly, are not listed individually because of small numbers of deaths and populations in these areas. However, data for the City of London and the Isles of Scilly are included in regional and national totals. Data for the Isles of Scilly are included in the County of Cornwall for 2002-2004, and 2003-2005, but not for earlier years.
Disclosure Control Not applicable

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